42:45
Pro Macro
•Insider Talks
Is the Yield Curve Behind the Curve? (Inside the Episode)
Inverted yield curves often precede recessions. But the curve hasn't inverted yet. Is a recession still on the way?
Featuring Roger Hirst
Mar 22, 2022 • 42 minutes
An inverted yield curve is often a precursor to a U.S. recession. But recessions usually occur between six and 30 months after an inversion. The U.S. yield curve hasn’t even inverted yet. Does that mean a recession is still a long way off? Or has the inflationary environment and the aggressive central bank response changed the dynamic? Is recession risk much higher than the yield curve suggests?
Show MoreReal Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal walks viewers through his latest research alongside MI2's Julian Brigden. Insider Talks provides viewers exclusive access to analysis, flash updates, and the live program of Macro Insiders, a proprietary research service by Global Macro Investor founder Raoul Pal. Raoul and Julian use macroeconomic analysis to provide clients specific trade recommendations across all asset classes. Available to all Real Vision Pro Macro members and above.
More EpisodesReal Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal walks viewers through his latest research alongside MI2's Julian Brigden. Insider Talks provides viewers exclusive access to analysis, flash updates, and the live program of Macro Insiders, a proprietary research service by Global Macro Investor founder Raoul Pal. Raoul and Julian use macroeconomic analysis to provide clients specific trade recommendations across all asset classes. Available to all Real Vision Pro Macro members and above.
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