A sentiment split is another major challenge for a tightening central bank.
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Featuring Jim Bianco and Ash Bennington
February 11 at 9:00PM • 31 minutes
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for February read 61.7, down from 67.2 in January, well short of a median estimate of 67, and the lowest print since October 2011 – even lower than April 2020, when the global economy was locked down. “To put it bluntly,” notes Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, “this was not a good report.” And the decline was largely attributable to waning confidence among the investor class, which fears the stock-market implications of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. Regular consumers are simply in fear of falling behind because of inflation. An emerging Wall Street consensus now sees seven rate hikes coming down the pike, a process that could result in an inverted yield curve. And an inverted yield curve often means “recession.” Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to be decoupling from other risk assets, perhaps on the perception that it’s an effective hedge against still-accelerating inflation. Bianco joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about next moves for the Fed amid increasing chatter about an emergency session ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s next regular meeting in March. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3HLyUX8
Show MoreReal Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.
More EpisodesReal Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.
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