Comments
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JJTop notch work
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WLThanks, Raoul - very generous to share it here!
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CHBeing granted your highest tier analytical work, at the very summit of RV, when I consider RV itself to be the Mt. Everest of markets education and strategic guidance, makes me feel as if I were shoulder to shoulder with the "big boys," the hedgies and family offices, Raoul, when I'm only the smallest of small fry. What a benefit! Thank you for the wonderful impact on my trading and for the simple enjoyment of the articulate erudition of so many of your presenters.
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JGThanks for sharing Raoul! I fully agree that productivity is the key to dig ourselves out of this hole. We should follow closely development of productivity and capital formation trends. The re industrialisation of the west and the transformation of energy from extraction of a resource to the development of technology will transform our economy and give tremendous new opportunities. But that is the new secular trend. First we have to navigate the present cyclical downturn. Next 12 months could be quite unpleasant. Cheers and good luck to all!
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JJHey Raul, first off I agree w/ a lot of what you wrote about, I agree everyone is so incredibly bearish and for some reason I’m not. So going through the charts I’ve noticed when you mentioned the TD signals (and maybe you use the tools differently, everyone kind’ve does) you highlight the trend exhaustion signals but in some cases there’s other components such as on going counts and what really jumps out to me are the qualified and confirmed breakouts of set up trend and risk lvls, the first which typically signifies increased probability of a completed count down, and the latter possible renewed buying/selling interest. I didn’t comment to contradict you at all as so much as I am curious how you (if even) weigh those other signals
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acI very much enjoyed reading this I found it very enlightening and accessible. Thank you
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LAAre we still on for the 30% equity market drop in October?
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SSThank you Raoul. Really great.
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JBExcellent report. I agree completely.